Not to defend musk, he’s a complete shitbag, but the “rockets exploding” argument is stupid, it’s always prototypes, or after the main mission is complete, which at worse makes them the same as every other rocket.
Actual Space Systems Engineer here (and not for SpaceX): Yes. One of the more recent ones had a communications failure, and self-destructed to make sure it had very little chance at causing the damage the above people have their arses in a knot over. It’s rapid prototyping. Why?
NASA projects run overbudget and over deadline because they’re trying to get it perfect in the first few launches. That’s only part of the problem, but it’s a significant part. Look at Artemis: 1) launch, 2) launch to the moon, 3) launch to the moon for a long duration stay with humans. That takes so much time and money and simulation and testing of everything that even a government has trouble. So what do they do? They adapt, extend deadlines, increase funding, etc.
Private industries don’t have that luxury. If SpaceX decided to run Starship 500x overbudget to get it right in the first few attempts, they’d be bankrupt. How do you remedy this?
Give it your best guess, strap a bunch of sensors to it, watch it (probably) explode (which really is any failure, as it’s required to explode for safety if it can’t land), use that data to improve the design, and then try again a few hundred times until it doesn’t explode anymore.
And in the end, it’s cheaper than spending years predicting every mode of failure and preventing them like NASA does. It’s a different mode of operation, because industry and government have different resources and norms down to the way the project is structured from a leadership point-of-view.
And that’s why commercial rockets are supposed to explode.
Not to defend musk, he’s a complete shitbag, but the “rockets exploding” argument is stupid, it’s always prototypes, or after the main mission is complete, which at worse makes them the same as every other rocket.
So they were supposed to explode?
Actual Space Systems Engineer here (and not for SpaceX): Yes. One of the more recent ones had a communications failure, and self-destructed to make sure it had very little chance at causing the damage the above people have their arses in a knot over. It’s rapid prototyping. Why?
NASA projects run overbudget and over deadline because they’re trying to get it perfect in the first few launches. That’s only part of the problem, but it’s a significant part. Look at Artemis: 1) launch, 2) launch to the moon, 3) launch to the moon for a long duration stay with humans. That takes so much time and money and simulation and testing of everything that even a government has trouble. So what do they do? They adapt, extend deadlines, increase funding, etc.
Private industries don’t have that luxury. If SpaceX decided to run Starship 500x overbudget to get it right in the first few attempts, they’d be bankrupt. How do you remedy this?
Give it your best guess, strap a bunch of sensors to it, watch it (probably) explode (which really is any failure, as it’s required to explode for safety if it can’t land), use that data to improve the design, and then try again a few hundred times until it doesn’t explode anymore.
And in the end, it’s cheaper than spending years predicting every mode of failure and preventing them like NASA does. It’s a different mode of operation, because industry and government have different resources and norms down to the way the project is structured from a leadership point-of-view.
And that’s why commercial rockets are supposed to explode.
(All this said, Fuck Muskrat)
If this is a good way to operate, why doesn’t NASA just do that themselves?
They did, in the 50s and 60s.